http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/contractSearch/searchPageBuilder.jsp?z=1178917596973&grpID=95
I just recently discovered that there is a futures market for the 2008 US presidential elections. Now I'm going to go back and look at some close elections in the past (probably American and French) to see how the market predicted those. Of course, this is probably going to be swinging a lot for the next year and a half, but still interesting. The bit about the candidates on that page is at "2008 US Presidential Election - Winning Individual (See Specific Rules)".
[edit] Less detailed (only parties), but from an organization with a very good record:
http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres08_VS.cfm
Futures markets and politics
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Nuclear Raunch
- The Wanderer
- Posts: 950
- Joined: Tue May 24, 2005 4:30 am
Ode to A Pineapple
Dusty roadside
Throngs of people passing by
I sit content
Voraciously consuming
This Cadbury milk chocolate bar with raisins
I rest in this blue fiat
Broke down with one tire gone flat
Yet I’m quite happy
On this Tuesday afternoon
And just ahead
Men chew on their sugarcane
And babies rest in comfort
Slung across the sturdy backs of their mothers
Secured by bright chitenges
Elephants, zebras, oranges and blues
The deepest of hues
Men walk by, making attempts to chat
In sheer wonder of my flat
Wearing green suits
That read “Pest Control�
But I sit content
Knowing the I’ve spent
My money on this chocolate candy bar
That’s now halfway devoured
And a man approaches me from a distant stand
Two pineapples in hand
Vibrant greens with a caramel body
Their sweet smells delighting my senses
No for now, Mr. Pineapple Man
And I carry on
Eating the Cadbury bar, enjoying the raisins
Enthralled by the crowds
So he walks away, the pineapple man
And the bustling market
Rages on
This man selling sea foam green trousers
That one selling fluorescent orange soap
Yet another one selling boxed perfumes
I’m still lost in my world of chocolate
Enjoying the moment
And the pineapple man
Approaches again
This time,
Willing to cut me a deal
That I now simply must seal --
40 kwachas for one pineapple
With my pineapple in hand
I feel lucky to be in this land
The land of Malawi
With bustling markets
People of colors so vibrant
Smiles so true
Plates of sima, curry and greens
Beats so light and free
And 40-kwacha pineapples!
written by not me.
Dusty roadside
Throngs of people passing by
I sit content
Voraciously consuming
This Cadbury milk chocolate bar with raisins
I rest in this blue fiat
Broke down with one tire gone flat
Yet I’m quite happy
On this Tuesday afternoon
And just ahead
Men chew on their sugarcane
And babies rest in comfort
Slung across the sturdy backs of their mothers
Secured by bright chitenges
Elephants, zebras, oranges and blues
The deepest of hues
Men walk by, making attempts to chat
In sheer wonder of my flat
Wearing green suits
That read “Pest Control�
But I sit content
Knowing the I’ve spent
My money on this chocolate candy bar
That’s now halfway devoured
And a man approaches me from a distant stand
Two pineapples in hand
Vibrant greens with a caramel body
Their sweet smells delighting my senses
No for now, Mr. Pineapple Man
And I carry on
Eating the Cadbury bar, enjoying the raisins
Enthralled by the crowds
So he walks away, the pineapple man
And the bustling market
Rages on
This man selling sea foam green trousers
That one selling fluorescent orange soap
Yet another one selling boxed perfumes
I’m still lost in my world of chocolate
Enjoying the moment
And the pineapple man
Approaches again
This time,
Willing to cut me a deal
That I now simply must seal --
40 kwachas for one pineapple
With my pineapple in hand
I feel lucky to be in this land
The land of Malawi
With bustling markets
People of colors so vibrant
Smiles so true
Plates of sima, curry and greens
Beats so light and free
And 40-kwacha pineapples!
written by not me.
all about FAVRE, come on...you know you want to click it
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
~Beatles..."I'm sorry, but I really can't see anything redeeming in your philosophy other than that dinosaurs are cute."
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
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The Beatles
- Fear me for I am root
- Posts: 6285
- Joined: Tue May 24, 2005 8:12 pm
i for one love Cadbury chocolate. a hershey bar is quite excellent as well... why do you think it is crap?
all about FAVRE, come on...you know you want to click it
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
~Beatles..."I'm sorry, but I really can't see anything redeeming in your philosophy other than that dinosaurs are cute."
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
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The Beatles
- Fear me for I am root
- Posts: 6285
- Joined: Tue May 24, 2005 8:12 pm
really? wow. i think hershey is the bomb.
but then: i guess i need to get my hands on some foreign chocolate before i make the ultimate decision.
can you get such chocolates here in the states?
but then: i guess i need to get my hands on some foreign chocolate before i make the ultimate decision.
can you get such chocolates here in the states?
all about FAVRE, come on...you know you want to click it
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
~Beatles..."I'm sorry, but I really can't see anything redeeming in your philosophy other than that dinosaurs are cute."
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
-
The Beatles
- Fear me for I am root
- Posts: 6285
- Joined: Tue May 24, 2005 8:12 pm
I'm sure you can. Nestle or Milka are dirt cheap in Hungary, but then again Switzerland is close; you might have to pay extra because of the shipping and the perceived premium value here. Trader Joe's usually has standard foreign fare (rather than the glamourous fake foreign stuff in most supermarkets), so I'd try that first. Nestle or Milka are the basic cheap brands, then there are of course high-end truffles and stuff, Linz is well-known for instance. There's also French stuff, best avoid that too. Personally, I prefer the cheaper two because of the milk content; Linz tends to be darker. I think they're both Swiss and I know Nestle has a US presence, Milka might not. (Have you ever seen a purple cow ad? That's the Milka ad.)
:wq
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Nuclear Raunch
- The Wanderer
- Posts: 950
- Joined: Tue May 24, 2005 4:30 am
since when? Hershey PA is the place its made. why would they be moving it?
and as for Trader Joes: awsome place, i think i am going to check out some foriegn chocolate! :*laughs*:
and as for Trader Joes: awsome place, i think i am going to check out some foriegn chocolate! :*laughs*:
all about FAVRE, come on...you know you want to click it
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
~Beatles..."I'm sorry, but I really can't see anything redeeming in your philosophy other than that dinosaurs are cute."
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
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Nuclear Raunch
- The Wanderer
- Posts: 950
- Joined: Tue May 24, 2005 4:30 am
Do you really think they are gonna make all that chocolate in 1 factory?Kraken wrote: since when? Hershey PA is the place its made. why would they be moving it?
and as for Trader Joes: awsome place, i think i am going to check out some foriegn chocolate! :*laughs*:
Not all of the plants are moving but some are, and it was announced the day after Valentines day this year.
I know the voices in my head arn't real but they usually have some pretty good ideas.
grrrreat....
i see it now: headline: <span style='color:red'>millions have the hershey squirts from tainted chocolate from mexico</span>
mucho ohno!
i see it now: headline: <span style='color:red'>millions have the hershey squirts from tainted chocolate from mexico</span>
mucho ohno!
all about FAVRE, come on...you know you want to click it
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
~Beatles..."I'm sorry, but I really can't see anything redeeming in your philosophy other than that dinosaurs are cute."
The Kraken, which is found primarily in Scandinavian myth, was a huge sea creature. It was said to lie at the bottom of the sea for a long time and then it would rest at the surface....Like the Midgard serpent in the Norse myths, the Kraken was supposed to rise to the surface at the end of the world.
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